There was a close race for first place between Buena Vista/Disney and Pixar's animated blockbuster "Toy Story 2" and Warner Bros. and Castle Rock Entertainment's opening of the drama "The Green Mile."
Based on Sunday's estimates, the G-rated "Toy 2" held on to the top spot on the chart, but only by a nose. When the box office dust settles Monday, it is possible that because the two films were so close in the estimates, they could wind up reversing positions.
Working against "Mile" was the fact that its adult audience is busy with holiday shopping and office parties. An additional negative for "Mile" is that its three-hour running time gives it fewer performances per day than "Toy 2" has with its running time of about 90 minutes. To some extent, however, "Mile's" broad release at 2,875 theaters gives it the potential to take in big grosses even with fewer showings per day.
"Toy 2" was bolstered by strong sneak previews Saturday night for Buena Vista/Touchstone's "Bicentennial Man," starring Robin Williams (for details, see SNEAK PREVIEWS below). Also adding to "Toy 2's" strength vs. "Mile" is that it is playing even wider, with 3,257 theaters.
In its fourth weekend, "Toy 2" did a still punchy estimated $18.70 million (-32%) at 3,257 theaters (+19 theaters, $5,747 per theater). Its total is approximately $140.8 million, heading for a domestic theatrical total of $250 million to $275 million. Directed by John Lasseter, it features the voices of Tom Hanks, Tim Allen, Joan Cusack, Kelsey Grammer, Don Rickles, Jim Varney, Wallace Shawn, John Ratzenberger, Annie Potts, Wayne Knight, Laurie Metcalf, Estelle Harris and R. Lee Ermey. Its score and two new songs were composed by Grammy Award winner Randy Newman.
"I'm putting it at roughly $200 million on New Year's weekend," Buena Vista Distribution President Chuck Viane said Sunday morning. "The original did $42 million after New Year's. So it will be very interesting to see if we can outdo that and get into the $260-270 millions."
Noting that "Toy 2" was only off 32% this weekend, Viane said, "It's right in line (with where the first 'Toy Story' was at the same point in its run). The original was off 31% and considering we're wider, I'm really happy with this. I know the gross was bumped (up) a little by the sneaks (of "Bicentennial Man" on Saturday at 260 theaters playing 'Toy 2'), but that's OK."
Focusing on BV's critically acclaimed but underperforming drama "The Insider," Viane said its strong showing in the L.A. Critics' vote Saturday -- winning Best Picture, Actor (Russell Crowe) and Supporting Actor (Christopher Plummer) -- should help it at the box office. "That's going to help us in the long run. There's no question about it," Viane said.
Warner and Castle Rock's R-rated "Mile" kicked off to a very close second with a solid but unelectrifying estimated $18.57 million at 2,875 theaters ($6,459 per theater). "Mile's" per-theater average was the highest for any film playing in wide release last weekend. "Mile's" opening was in line with Warner's launch of "You've Got Mail" to $18.43 million the weekend of Dec. 18-20 last year. Written and directed by Frank Darabont, "Mile" stars Tom Hanks.
"It was the best exit interviews we've ever had," Warner Bros. Distribution President Dan Fellman said Sunday morning. "They were sensational. Audiences just loved this movie. We had a definite recommend of over 80%. The top two boxes (excellent and very good) were in the 90%s. Response was phenomenal. CinemaScore had the people who rated the movie A or B at 97%. Overall grade was an A."
Buena Vista/Touchstone's R-rated youth-appeal comedy "Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo" opened in the money, placing third with a muscular estimated $13 million at 2,151 theaters ($6,058 per theater). Directed by Mike Mitchell, it stars Rob Schneider.
"We had projected the picture to be flat (from Friday to Saturday)," BV's Viane said. "We thought Friday-Saturday would be the same as (what is) typical of teen-age movies. But it went from $4.4 million to $5.1 million last night (Saturday), up 14%. So we're very pleased with that. It plays great. Last night the ethnic theaters came alive, so I have a feeling today's (Sunday) going to be really good."
MGM's PG-13-rated "The World Is Not Enough," the 19th in its James Bond series, fell two rungs to fourth place in its fourth weekend with a less worldly estimated $6.20 million (-42%) at 3,063 theaters (-100 theaters, $2,024 per theater). Its total is approximately $99.5 million, heading for $130 million to $135 million in domestic theaters. Directed by Michael Apted, it stars Pierce Brosnan in his third performance as 007.
"We'll get to $130-135 million," said Larry Gleason, MGM worldwide theatrical distribution president, on Sunday morning. "The holidays will push it back up."
Universal and Beacon Pictures' R-rated action-fantasy adventure "End of Days" dropped two notches to fifth place in its third weekend with a slower estimated $4.72 million (-51%) at 2,652 theaters (+54 theaters, $1,780 per theater). Its total is approximately $53.2 million, heading for about $70 million in domestic theaters. Directed by Peter Hyams, it stars Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Paramount's R-rated period action adventure "Sleepy Hollow" slipped two notches to sixth place in its fourth weekend with a quieter estimated $4.60 million (-48%) at 3,065 theaters (-4 theaters, $1,501 per theatre). Its total is approximately $81.3 million, heading for $100 million in domestic theaters. Directed by Tim Burton, it stars Johnny Depp and Christina Ricci and is based on Washington Irving's classic "The Legend of Sleepy Hollow."
Universal's R-rated suspense thriller "The Bone Collector" dipped two pegs to seventh place in its sixth weekend with an OK estimated $1.70 million (-47%) at 2,031 theaters (-490 theaters, $835 per theater). Its total is approximately $60.8 million. Directed by Phillip Noyce, it stars Denzel Washington and Angelina Jolie. Sony's Columbia Pictures unit is partnered 50-50 with Universal on "Bone's" worldwide film rentals. Sony is releasing the picture internationally.
Lions Gate's release of "Dogma," the controversial R-rated irreverent comedy it took over from Miramax, fell one slot to eighth place in its fourth weekend with an unexciting estimated $1.20 million (-43%) at 1,159 theaters (-133 theaters, $1,035 per theater). Its total is approximately $26.4 million. Directed by Kevin Smith, it stars Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, Linda Fiorentino, Salma Hayek, Jason Lee, Jason Mewes, Alan Rickman and Chris Rock.
Warner Bros.' G-rated Japanese animated feature "Pokemon: The First Movie" slipped three rungs to ninth place in its fifth weekend with a dull estimated $1.11 million (-53%) at 2,426 theaters (-617 theaters, $458 per theater). Its total is approximately $82.3 million, heading for a domestic theatrical gross of about $90 million.
Rounding out the Top 10 was USA Films' R-rated comedy "Being John Malkovich," down one rung in its seventh weekend with a decent estimated $0.96 million (-30%) at 630 theaters (+6 theaters, $1,517 per theater). Its total is approximately $15.3 million. Directed by Spike Jonze, it stars John Malkovich, playing himself, John Cusack, Cameron Diaz and Catherine Keener.
"The top markets were really pretty strong (for 'Malkovich'). They were relatively unaffected by the new business," USA Films distribution head Jack Foley said Sunday morning. "I think we'll be able to cruise through, particularly now that the (critics year-end) lists are coming out. The main markets --(like) Washington, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Seattle -- are holding in. That's where we'll be able to drive the picture up into the $20 million range, which I think we'll get to, even without a lot of big awards. I think if we get nominations, we're going to go p into the $25 million range with it."
USA opens the drama "Topsy Turvy," written and directed by Mike Leigh and starring Jim Broadbent and Allan Corduner as Gilbert & Sullivan, at two theaters this week.
"We'll be in the Paris in New York and AMC Century City for a week only in Century City," Foley said. "We'll open the picture in the Paris and run it. Los Angeles has been a little bit bumpy lately when you look at how art films have opened recently. It's been inclement in that market. So we'll qualify the film (for Oscars). We'll open it this Wednesday (Dec. 15). It will be off screen the following Tuesday.
"The Paris will run through. I think in New York, the levels of risk are diminished greatly because of the culture. And with that theater, particularly, it enhances its opportunity. If there's a theater in the country that's going to make that picture snap to life, it's the Paris."
Weekend 50 also saw the arrival of Miramax's PG-13-rated drama "The Cider House Rules" in New York and Los Angeles, placing 19th with a promising estimated $0.115 million at 9 theaters ($14,375 per theater). Directed by Lasse Hallstrom, it stars Tobey Maguire, Charlize Theron and Michael Caine.
"It goes to the top 20 (markets) this Friday," Miramax senior vice president, marketing, said Sunday morning.
Buena Vista/Touchstone's R-rated drama "Cradle Will Rock" arrived in 20th place to an encouraging estimated $0.094 million at 9 theaters ($11,780 per theater). Its total after five days is approximately $0.125 million. Written and directed by Tim Robbins, it stars Hank Azaria, Ruben Blades and Joan Cusack.
"We're going to add some cities, like San Francisco, Boston, Chicago, Toronto, Washington, D.C., Dec. 25," Buena Vista Distribution president Chuck Viane said Sunday morning. "Then on Jan. 14 we're going to broaden it out."
Miramax's PG-13-rated comedy-drama "Diamonds" opened in New York and for a one-week Oscar qualifying run in L.A., placing 24th with a not very sparkling estimated $7,500 at 2 theaters ($3,750 per theater). Directed by John Asher, it stars Kirk Douglas, Dan Aykroyd and Lauren Bacall.
MGM's R-rated drama "Miss Julie" began exclusive runs in New York and L.A., placing 25th with a slow estimated $6,219 at 3 theaters ($2,073 per theater). Directed by Mike Figgis, it stars Saffron Burrows, Peter Mullan and Maria Doyle Kennedy.
Weekend 50 saw Buena Vista/Touchstone hold sneak previews of its PG-rated comedy-drama "Bicentennial Man." "Bicentennial," financed jointly by Touchstone and Columbia Pictures, is directed by Chris Columbus and stars Robin Williams.
"We snuck on the second and third screens of 'Toy Story' last night and everything sold out," Viane said Sunday morning.
Viane said there were 260 sneaks and that the studio's exit polls showed that "94% rated it excellent or very good. The cume score was 91%, which means it snuck just as well as 'Phenomenon' for us, which is really good. In terms of male/female -- 52% female. In terms of audience -- couples and families represented 87%, and teens represented 13%. In terms of ticket sales -- approximately 80% of the seats were sold."
"Bicentennial" opens Friday (Dec. 17) at about 2,200 theaters.
Twentieth Century Fox held a second round of sneak previews Saturday night at 1,200 theaters of its PG-13-rated drama "Anna and the King." Directed by Andy Tennant, it stars Jodie Foster and Chow Yun-Fat.
"They did really well," Tom Sherak, 20th Domestic Film Group chairman and senior executive vice president of Fox Filmed Entertainment, said Sunday morning. "Sixty-three percent of the theaters were between 50-100% full. The picture played extremely well -- 80% in the top two boxes (excellent and very good)."
"Anna" opens Friday (Dec. 17) at about 2,000 theaters.
On the expansion front, Weekend 50 saw Warner Bros.' R-rated comedy-drama "Liberty Heights" place 17th with an OK estimated $0.29 million at 42 theaters (+36 theaters, $6,904 per theater). Its total is approximately $0.725 million. Warner will hold sneak previews of the critically acclaimed "Heights" next weekend and will expand its run again Dec. 22. Written and directed by Barry Levinson, it stars Adrien Brody, Ben Foster, Orlando Jones, Bebe Neuwirth and Joe Mantegna.
Fine Line's PG-13-rated drama "Tumbleweeds" went wider, placing 22nd with a quiet estimated $0.081 million at 31 theaters (+26 theaters, $2,610 per theater). Its total is approximately $0.80 million. Directed by Gavin O'Connor, it stars Janet McTeer and Kimberly J. Brown.
Key films -- those grossing more than $500,000 for the weekend -- took in approximately $73.25 million, up approximately 5% from $69.77 million for the same weekend last year.
Weekend 50's key film gross was down approximately 2.08% from the $74.78 million that key films took in during Weekend 49 of this year.
Last year, Paramount's opening weekend of "Star Trek: Insurrection" was first with $22.05 million at 2,620 theaters ($8,417 per theater), and Buena Vista/Disney's third weekend of "A Bug's Life" was second with $11.19 million at 2,748 theaters, $4,073 per theater). The top two films one year ago grossed $33.3 million. This year, the top two films grossed an estimated $37.3 million.
For the first 50 weekends of 1999, ticket sales were approximately $4.738 billion, up about 4.83% from 1998's gross of $4.52 billion. Of this year's 50 weekends, 29 were up (one marginally and one because of a four-day vs. a three-day holiday weekend comparison) and 21 were down (three only marginally and one because of a holiday vs. a nonholiday comparison) vs. last year.
STUDIO MARKET SHARES
Based on business by key films, the top six distributors in Weekend 50 were the following:
Buena Vista (Touchstone and Disney) was first with four films ("Toy Story 2," "Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo," "The Insider" and "The Sixth Sense") grossing an estimated $32.90 million or 44.9% of the market.
Warner Bros. was second with two films ("The Green Mile" and "Pokemon: The First Movie") grossing an estimated $19.68 million or 26.8% of the market.
Universal was third with two films ("End Of Days" and "The Bone Collector") grossing an estimated $6.42 million or 8.8% of the market.
MGM was fourth with one film ("The World Is Not Enough") grossing an estimated $6.20 million or 8.5% of the market.
Paramount was fifth with one film ("Sleepy Hollow") grossing an estimated $4.60 million or 6.3% of the market.
Lions Gate was sixth with one film ("Dogma") grossing an estimated $1.20 million or 1.6% of the market.
(11) "Anywhere But Here"/Fox: Theaters: 1,128 (-498) Gross: $0.71 million (-46%) Average per theater: $630 Total: $17.5 million
(12) "The Sixth Sense"/BV: Theaters: 856 (-178) Gross: $0.63 million (-35%) Average per theater: $733 Total: $274.4 million
(13) "American Beauty"/DreamWorks: Theaters: 595(-99) Gross: $0.59 million (-25%) Average per theater: $985 Total: $68.5 million
(14) "The Insider"/BV/Touchstone: Theaters: 823 (-660) Gross: $0.57 million (-55%) Average per theater: $697 Total: $24.9 million
(15) "The Best Man"/Universal: Theaters: 457 (-46) Gross: $0.38 million (-34%) Average per theater: $840 Total: $32.7 million
(16) "Flawless"/MGM Theaters: 483 (+5) Gross: $0.35 million (-23%) Average per theater: $720 Total: $4 million
(17) "Liberty Heights"/Warner Bros.: (see EXPANSIONS above)
(18) "Mansfield Park"/Miramax: Theaters: 33 (+1) Gross: $0.17 million (-25%) Average per theater: $5,151 Total: $1.1 million
(19) "The Cider House Rules"/Miramax: (see OTHER OPENINGS above)
(20) "Cradle Will Rock"/BV/Touchst one: (see OTHER OPENINGS above)
(21) "The End of the Affair"/Columbia: Theaters: 7 (0) Gross: $0.12 million (-41%) Average per theater: $16,726 Total: $0.4 million
(22) "Tumbleweeds"/Fine Line: (see EXPANSIONS above)
(23) "Ride With the Devil"/USA Films: Theaters: 12 (-3) Gross: $0.022 million (-58%) Average per theater: $1,797 Total: $0.2 million
(24) "Diamonds"/Miramax: (see OTHER OPENINGS above)
(25) "Miss Julie"/MGM: (see OTHER OPENINGS above)
Hollywood is expecting Warner Bros. and Castle Rock Entertainment's opening of "The Green Mile" to walk off with the most box office green this weekend.
The R-rated drama, written and directed by Frank Darabont and starring Tom Hanks, kicks off at more than 2,850 theaters.
"'Toy Story ,' if it's down in the neighborhood of 35-40%, is $16-18 million. And I think 'Green Mile' beats that based on the tracking. They're sitting there with an 18% first choice right now," one studio executive said earlier this week."
"It is high," he said of the tracking results. "Although I understand the reviews are not very good, with Tom Hanks (starring), that's $20 million-plus."
While a $20 million-plus opening is certainly very attractive, it's not spectacular. One of the factors working against a bigger first weekend for the adult appeal "Green" is that adults are busy with shopping and other things in the post-Thanksgiving weeks.
"Women are not so available (this weekend) with Christmas shopping and parties and all that," the executive observed. "But it is Tom Hanks. If anything keeps it from getting to $20 million, it's exactly that factor -- the time of the year. Last year, 'You've Got Mail' opened to something like $18 million ($18.4 million via Warner Bros. the weekend of Dec. 18-20). But you probably have more male interest in 'Green Mile' than there was in 'You've Got Mail,' which was more of a chick flick."
On the other hand, he added, "If 'Toy Story' is down only 28%, that's $20 million, too. But my gut feeling is 'Green Mile' probably edges it out, and then 'Toy Story' is somewhere around $18 million."
The Buena Vista/Disney and Pixar G-rated computer-animated blockbuster "Toy Story 2" is heading for $250 million to $300 million in domestic theaters. Directed by John Lasseter, "Toy 2" features the voices of Tom Hanks, Tim Allen, Joan Cusack, Kelsey Grammer, Don Rickles, Jim Varney, Wallace Shawn, John Ratzenberger, Annie Potts, Wayne Knight, Laurie Metcalf, Estelle Harris and R. Lee Ermey.
Third place this weekend should go to Buena Vista/Touchstone's opening of its R-rated youth-appeal comedy "Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo" at about 2,000 theaters.
"'Deuce Bigalow' has actually got a 12% first choice at this point," the executive said. "I think that's (a gross) somewhere in the low-to-mid-teens. I understand it's a pretty rough R, but I don't think that will keep teen-age and young-adult audiences from coming to see it." Directed by Mike Mitchell, it stars "Saturday Night Live" alumnus Rob Schneider.
MGM's "The World Is Not Enough" should wind up in fourth place with around $7 million. The PG-13-rated "World," the 19th in MGM's James Bond series, is directed by Michael Apted and stars Pierce Brosnan in his third performance as 007.
There could be a close race for fifth place. Both Universal and Beacon Pictures' R-rated action epic "End of Days" and Paramount's R-rated "Sleepy Hollow" could wind up grossing around $6 million this weekend.
Directed by Peter Hyams, "End of Days" is a supernatural thriller pitting Arnold Schwarzenegger against Satan. "Sleepy Hollow," directed by Tim Burton, stars Johnny Depp and Christina Ricci.
Universal's R-rated thriller "The Bone Collector," directed by Phillip Noyce and starring Denzel Washington and Angelina Jolie, which finished fifth last weekend, appears likely to come in seventh this time around.
"'Bone Collector' has been hanging in there respectably, but it was down to $3.2 million last weekend and, I'm assuming, they're going to lose theaters because they're at that point now where they're just going to get crowded out of the 12-plexes and so on. It should be somewhere in the low $2 millions."
Rounding out the chart in eighth, ninth and 10th place will be three of the following four films: Warner Bros.' G-rated animated feature "Pokemon: The First Movie"; Lions Gate's R-rated irreverent comedy "Dogma," directed by Kevin Smith and starring Ben Affleck, Matt Damon and Linda Fiorentino; Buena Vista/Touchstone's R-rated drama "The Insider," directed by Michael Mann and starring Al Pacino and Russell Crowe; and USA Films' R-rated comedy-drama "Being John Malkovich," directed by Spike Jonze and starring John Malkovich, John Cusack, Cameron Diaz and Catherine Keener.
On the specialized front, there will be considerable activity this weekend. Miramax's PG-13-rated drama "The Cider House Rules" starts exclusive runs in New York and Los Angeles. A likely Oscar and Golden Globes contender in a number of the major categories, "Cider House" was adapted to the screen by John Irving from his own novel. It was directed by Lasse Hallstrom and stars Tobey Maguire, Charlize Theron and Michael Caine.
Miramax's PG-13-rated comedy-drama "Diamonds" opens in New York for a one-week Oscar qualifying run. Directed by John Asher, it stars Kirk Douglas, Dan Aykroyd and Lauren Bacall.
Warner Bros.' R-rated comedy-drama "Liberty Heights," which opened in mid-November in New York, L.A. and Baltimore (where it takes place), goes into limited release. The studio will hold sneak previews of the critically acclaimed "Heights" the following weekend and take it wider Dec. 22. Written and directed by Barry Levinson, the film stars Adrien Brody, Ben Foster, Orlando Jones, Bebe Neuwirth and Joe Mantegna.
MGM's R-rated drama "Miss Julie" starts exclusive runs in New York and L.A. Directed by Mike Figgis, it stars Saffron Burrows, Peter Mullan and Maria Doyle Kennedy.
Fine Line's PG-13-rated drama "Tumbleweeds," playing in New York and L.A. since Nov. 24, goes into limited release in the top 15 markets. Directed by Gavin O'Connor, it stars Janet McTeer and Kimberly J. Brown.
Looking ahead to the weekend of Dec. 17-19, insiders say 20th Century Fox's "Anna and the King" is at this early point only a 5 percent first choice in tracking studies. Buena Vista/Touchstone's "Bicentennial Man" is an 8 percent first choice. Those numbers should increase as their marketing campaigns kick in, especially with television advertising.
The PG-13-rated period drama "Anna" is directed by Andy Tennant and stars Jodie Foster and Chow Yun-Fat. The PG-rated family comedy "Bicentennial Man" is directed by Chris Columbus and stars Robin Williams.
Also arriving in theaters Dec. 17 is Columbia's PG rated fantasy-adventure "Stuart Little." "Of course, 'Stuart Little's' very hard to judge because kids' movies just don't track well," the studio executive said.
On the other hand, Universal's R-rated bio-drama "Man On The Moon," directed by Milos Forman and starring Jim Carrey as late comedian Andy Kaufman, is already said to be showing a 9% first-choice score in tracking studies.
"You've got to figure that's (because of) Carrey," says the executive. Since "Man" doesn't land in theaters until Dec. 22, there's plenty of time for its already good score to increase and translate into a big opening weekend.