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B.O. Analysis Mar. 22: Nicolas Cage Is All-‘Knowing’

Newcomers dominate the weekend, and Nicolas Cage proves that older action stars have not worn out their welcome with moviegoers.

Summit’s sci-fi thriller Knowing proves that if you take a major star, plug him into a summer-style thriller and then market the heck out of it, you can grab the number one spot with $24.8 million. While worries about the economic crisis fill the airwaves, escapism took the form of a doomsday scenario in which money, mortgages and debt have no meaning, and thus, had strong appeal for audiences. From his 1990s hits The Rock, Face/Off and Con Air to the National Treasure films in the mid-2000s, Cage has proven his enduring box-office appeal and brand-name recognition with moviegoers.

Paul Rudd is no box-office slouch either as I Love You, Man took the second spot with $18 million giving Rudd his fourth number-two debut in a row (last year, as co-lead in Role Models and with memorable supporting roles in both Forgetting Sarah Marshall and 2007’s Knocked Up — all three films opened at number two) and demonstrating his status as an established comedy brand.

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Julia Roberts and Clive Owen in Duplicity grabbed the third spot as the Tony Gilroy-directed cat-and-mouse international romp proved to be the brainy cinematic fine-dining experience as compared to the cinematic fast food that the top two films offered. It, therefore, landed in third with a $14.4 million haul. Still arguably the biggest female star in the world, Roberts continues to draw her fans to the multiplex and she, along with co-star Owen, make a great on-screen pair.

At number four, Race to Witch Mountain dropped a modest 47 percent while maintaining its family audience and earns another $13 million while racing toward the $50 million mark. Dwayne Johnson’s PG-rated appeal is in evidence and shows that Disney plus The Rock equals families in the theater.

Rounding out the top 5 is Watchmen, which is on the verge of $100 million domestically after earning $6.7 million this weekend. The film continues to polarize critics and audiences alike, but this film is a guaranteed $100 million+ hit.

On a smaller scale, but no less important, was the expanded run of Sunshine Cleaning, which realized a 222% increase in its second weekend in 60 additional theaters for a solid per-theater average of over $11,000.

The second consecutive “down” weekend as our YTD advantages are unfortunately getting smaller. Hopefully in a week, it will be the “Monsters” and their “Alien” foes saving the planet — and next weekend’s box-office — when Monsters vs. Aliens hits theaters.

THREE-DAY STUDIO ESTIMATES

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1. NEW! Knowing (Summit) – $24.8M; 3332 theaters; $7,447 PTA

2. NEW! I Love You, Man (Dreamworks/Paramount) – $18M; 2711 theaters; $6,641 PTA

3. NEW! Duplicity (Universal) – $14.4M; 2574 theaters; $5,595 PTA

4. Race to Witch Mountain (Disney) — $13M; 3187 theaters; $4,080 PTA; -47%; $44.7M cume

5. Watchmen (Warner Bros.) – $6.7M; 3510 theaters; $1,916 PTA; -62%; $98M cume

6. The Last House on the Left (Universal) – $5.9M; 2403 theaters; $2,464 PTA; -58%; $24M cume

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7. Taken (Fox) – $4.1M; 2661 theaters; $1,541 PTA; -38%; $133.1M cume

8. Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight) – $2.7M; 2067 theaters; $1,306 PTA; -46%; $137.2M cume

9. Tyler Perry’s Madea Goes to Jail (Lionsgate) – $2.5M; 1835 theaters; $1,368 PTA; -51%; $87.2M cume

10. Coraline (Focus) – $2.1M; 1431 theaters; $1,497 PTA; -21%; $72.8M cume

LAST WEEK’S B.O.: Dwayne Johnson ‘Races’ … Steadily

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