B.O. FORECAST: Breaking the ‘Grinch’

Is “The Grinch” breakable?

That’s the question this weekend as kiddie dog flick “102 Dalmatians” and M Night Shyamalan‘s “The Sixth Sense” follow-up “Unbreakable” look to dethrone Carrey‘s mad moneymaking “Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas.”

“‘The Grinch‘ is certainly the picture to beat here. I think ‘Grinch‘ would still be No. 1. It has the momentum behind it right now,” says Brandon Gray, box office analyst from boxofficemojo.com. “It could make another $50 mil over the five-day holiday.”

But, of course, this being a game of speculation, anything could happen.

And as we wait for the results this Sunday, here’s a look at the two big films opening this weekend.

102 Dalmatians” THE SKINNY: A follow-up to 1996’s successful “101 Dalmatians,” the sequel has Cruella De Vil (Glenn Close) once again hooked on the Dalmatian fur coat she has always coveted. THE UPSIDE: The original film took in more than $130 million in domestic box office. THE DOWNSIDE: But that was four years ago. “I see no indication that people are desiring a sequel [to the film],” Gray says. “I say this one’s going to be in the low $20 mil for the five days.”

Unbreakable” THE SKINNY: Bruce Willis plays a man whose life is spared in a devastating train accident. Samuel L. Jackson plays the nice black man who helps him through this difficult time. THE UPSIDE: “[It has] the momentous reteaming of ‘The Sixth Sense‘ team. The film is unique in the marketplace right now,” Gray says. “It’s quite feasible for the film to make somewhere around $30 mil over the five-day range.” THE DOWNSIDE: What’s up with Jackson‘s hair?

Don’t forget holdovers such as “Rugrats in Paris: The Movie,” “Charlie’s Angels,” “Men of Honor,” “Meet the Parents,” “The 6th Day” and “Bounce.” And for those feeling nostalgic, the Russell Crowe blockbuster “The Gladiator” gets a re-release at Imax theaters today.