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By Kit Bowen
While the Golden Globes are considered one of the better barometers of who will win the almighty Oscar, using them to predict the Academy Awards is certainly not an exact science.
Because the Hollywood Foreign Press Association has the enviable position of awarding two Globes for best picture, actor and actress in both drama and comedy/musical categories, the playing field narrows way down once they’re handed out. Winners of these awards stand a much greater chance of going on to compete for the Oscar. It gets trickier when the HPFA gives out only one award, as in the supporting acting, director and original screenplay categories.
In any case, the Globes offer some idea of which way the wind is blowing, and are a good way to determine the front-runners
(and the losers) of the upcoming Oscar race.
In looking at the winners for both Globes and Oscars over the last five years, several things stand out. The HFPA seems to choose their Globe winners based on popularity, picking actors and films that are best known by moviegoers. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences tends to spread the wealth among nominees.
Whatever the reasons, when the Golden Globes are presented Jan. 20, it’ll be a little easier to predict who is going to win the Academy Award for 2002–and this time around, we are going to need all the help we can get. - Advertisement -
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