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Do the Golden Globes Predict the Oscars?

Typically, the big winners of the Golden Globes go on to be nominated and very likely win Oscars.

Viewed as the last hurdle for heavyweights to overcome before the Academy Awards, the Globes are not a foolproof gauge, but they are a good forecaster. The fact the Hollywood Foreign Press Association nominates in two categories (drama and musical or comedy), gives those contenders a greater chance for exposure–and certainly if an Oscar hopeful doesn’t even get an Golden Globe nomination, it, he or she is pretty much dead in the water.

With this glance at each category’s winners over the last three years, see how the Globe-o-Meter ranks in Oscars’ eyes.

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2003 award ceremonies

Best Picture

  • Golden Globes: The Hours (Drama); Chicago (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Chicago

    Director

  • Golden Globes: Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York
  • Academy Awards: Roman Polanski, The Pianist

    Actor

  • Golden Globes: Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt (Drama); Richard Gere, Chicago (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Adrien Brody, The Pianist

    Actress

  • Golden Globes: Nicole Kidman, The Hours (Drama); Renee Zellweger, Chicago (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Nicole Kidman, The Hours

    Supporting Actor

  • Golden Globes: Chris Cooper, Adaptation
  • Academy Awards: Chris Cooper, Adaptation

    Supporting Actress

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  • Golden Globes: Meryl Streep, Adaptation
  • Academy Awards: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
    2002 award ceremonies

    Best Picture

  • Golden Globes: A Beautiful Mind (Drama); Moulin Rouge (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: A Beautiful Mind

    Director

  • Golden Globes: Robert Altman, Gosford Park
  • Academy Awards: Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind

    Actor

  • Golden Globes: Russell Crowe, A Beautiful Mind (Drama); Gene Hackman, The Royal Tenenbaums (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Denzel Washington, Training Day

    Actress

  • Golden Globes: Sissy Spacek, In the Bedroom (Drama); Nicole Kidman, Moulin Rouge (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball

    Supporting Actor

  • Golden Globes: Jim Broadbent, Iris
  • Academy Awards: Jim Broadbent, Iris

    Supporting Actress

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  • Golden Globes: Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind
  • Academy Awards: Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind

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    2001 award ceremonies

    Best Picture

  • Golden Globes: Gladiator (Drama); Almost Famous (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Gladiator

    Director

  • Golden Globes: Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
  • Academy Awards: Steven Soderbergh, Traffic

    Actor

  • Golden Globes: Tom Hanks, Cast Away (Drama); George Clooney, O Brother, Where Art Thou? (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Russell Crowe, Gladiator

    Actress

  • Golden Globes: Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich (Drama); Renee Zellweger, Nurse Betty (Comedy/Musical)
  • Academy Awards: Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich

    Supporting Actor

  • Golden Globes: Benicio Del Toro, Traffic
  • Academy Awards: Benicio Del Toro, Traffic

    Supporting Actress

  • Golden Globes: Kate Hudson, Almost Famous
  • Academy Awards: Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock

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