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B.O. FORECAST: Taking the ‘Bait’

This weekend, the nation will get hooked on “Bait.”

And for no better reason than a lack of more appealing choices.

As the weekend’s only major opener, the Jamie Foxx comedy will likely take the box office crown, but it won’t set new records.

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In the limited release area are Cameron Crowe’s rock ballad “Almost Famous” and Gwyneth Paltrow’s “Duets.” The two films will probably make the Top 10, thanks to a super slow weekend at the movies plus the opening of the Olympics games.

So the choice is yours. And here’s the lowdown on the three films.

The Skinny: A groovy film about rock ‘n’ roll — with the requisite rock star (Billy Crudup), long-legged groupie (Kate Hudson) and a teenage rock critic (Patrick Fugit) working for Rolling Stone magazine. The Upside: Directed by “Jerry Maguire” guy Cameron Crowe. It’s gotten great word of mouth and rave reviews. The Downside: “People could mistake it for one of those VH1 rock pic things,” Brandon Gray from Boxofficemojo.com tells us. And also, the film is opening in a mere 131 theaters this weekend. Even so, Gray still thinks that the film will crack the Top 10.

The Skinny: As the “bait” in question, Jamie Foxx does his comedy routine while trying to catch a criminal. The Upside: It’s the only wide release this weekend. “I don’t think how it couldn’t be the No. 1,” says Gray. “It’s a very slow weekend. It’ll probably make $8 million.” The Downside: Though the film falls in the same money-making category as “Rush Hour” in 1998 and “Blue Streak” in 1999, Jamie Foxx ain’t no Chris Tucker or Martin Lawrence, and certainly no Jackie Chan.

The Skinny: Six losers in life, including Gwyneth Paltrow and Huey Lewis, travel to Omaha, Nebr., for a national karaoke contest. The Upside: It’s got Gwyneth Paltrow in it. And she sings with her God-given voice. And did we mention Huey Lewis? The Downside: Gray expounds, “The buzz [for the film] is so poor. It’s been sitting on the shelves. But I think it’ll do modest business with its limited release [in 581 theaters]. Moviegoers don’t really follow what the industry thinks. The film should make between $2 million and $3 million.”

Last weekend’s total box office tally was a mere $61 million, the second lowest of the year so far, and it’s possible that this weekend’s numbers could be even less, Gray says.

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In other words, get ready to see holdovers such as “The Watcher,” “Bring It On” and “Nurse Betty” remain high on the charts.

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